October 1, 2026
Forget ‘superintelligence’: error-prone AI nearly sparked world war three this month | Timnit Gebru and Emily M Bender
Thesis: The real danger of AI lies not in hypothetical superintelligence but in its current, error-prone applications, which nearly led to a military conflict between the US and China.
Stakes: A reliance on flawed AI systems for critical military decisions poses a tangible risk of catastrophic consequences, as evidenced by a recent incident where erroneous chatbot-generated intelligence almost triggered a war.
Takeaway: Instead of succumbing to sensational fears of rogue AI, we must focus on regulating these unreliable technologies to prevent misuse in high-stakes environments, ensuring accountability and safety in their deployment.

Stoic Response
The Chief Tension of AI's Dangers
In contemplating the article's core tension, we find ourselves grappling not with the specter of superintelligent machines, but with the immediate and very real risks posed by flawed AI systems. The assertion that "the real danger of AI lies not in hypothetical superintelligence but in its current, error-prone applications" underscores a crucial point: our focus must shift from sensational fears to the tangible threats that these technologies currently pose.
Recognize What You Can Control
In the face of these challenges, it is vital to acknowledge the Stoic principle of the dichotomy of control. We must discern what is within our power to change and what is not. As Marcus Aurelius wisely noted, "You have power over your mind—not outside events. Realize this, and you will find strength."
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Focus on Regulation
Advocate for stringent regulations governing AI applications, particularly in high-stakes environments. Engage with policymakers and contribute to discussions that emphasize accountability and safety. Your voice matters in shaping a framework that prioritizes human oversight over automated decision-making. -
Educate Yourself and Others
Equip yourself with knowledge about AI technologies and their limitations. Share this understanding with your community to combat misinformation and foster a more informed public discourse. "The impediment to action advances action," as Aurelius would remind us; knowledge is a powerful tool for action. -
Demand Accountability
Hold companies accountable for the products they create. Support initiatives that call for transparency in AI development and deployment. By insisting on responsibility from those who design these systems, you contribute to a culture of safety and ethical standards. -
Practice Mindfulness in Decision-Making
In your personal and professional life, ensure that decisions are made with careful consideration of the tools at your disposal. Avoid placing undue trust in automated systems without verifying their reliability. Remember Aurelius's counsel: "Waste no more time arguing about what a good man should be. Be one." Actively embody the principles of prudence and diligence in your choices.
Conclusion
In this modern age, where technology can lead to both progress and peril, let us not be swayed by unfounded fears but rather act with purpose and clarity. By focusing on what we can control, we can navigate the complexities of AI with wisdom, ensuring that these powerful tools serve humanity rather than threaten it.
Article Rewritten Through Stoic Lens
The Stoic Perspective on the Risks of AI
Thesis: The True Peril of AI
The fundamental concern surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) does not reside in the realm of speculative superintelligence but rather in its current, fallible applications. These applications have already demonstrated their potential to precipitate grave consequences, as illustrated by a recent incident that nearly escalated military tensions between the United States and China.
Stakes: The Role of Virtue in Decision-Making
A reliance on flawed AI systems for critical military decisions presents a tangible risk of catastrophic outcomes. This is not merely an abstract concern; it is a reality evidenced by an incident where erroneous intelligence generated by a chatbot almost led to armed conflict. Here, we must reflect on the virtues of wisdom and courage, recognizing that the decisions made in high-stakes environments should be grounded in rational assessment rather than blind faith in technology.
The Nature of the Incident
A report from CNN highlights a situation in which the US military was prepared to engage a Chinese vessel based on a faulty intelligence report produced by an AI system. This report erroneously claimed that the ship was transporting components for nuclear weapons. The military's readiness to act underscores a critical point: decisions of such magnitude must be informed by accurate information and sound judgment, not by the fallibility of automated systems.
Cause and Effect: Understanding the Missteps
The incident serves as a reminder of the importance of examining cause and effect rather than assigning blame. The chatbot, described as a "stochastic parrot," is designed to generate plausible text based on its training data. This raises questions about the accountability of those who deploy such systems without adequate understanding of their limitations. It is essential to recognize that the perceived power of these models is often a result of marketing rather than reality.
The Call for Regulation: Justice and Accountability
In light of these events, it is prudent to advocate for the regulation of AI technologies, not out of fear of rogue superintelligence, but as a matter of justice and accountability. The deployment of AI in critical areas such as military and medical applications must be approached with temperance and caution. We must ensure that human judgment remains central to decision-making processes, particularly when lives are at stake.
The Role of Existing Laws
As emphasized by former FTC chair Lina Khan, existing laws can and should be applied to safeguard the public from the unscientific practices of the AI industry. It is essential to hold companies accountable for the products they produce, which are often marketed as infallible solutions. By doing so, we reaffirm our commitment to justice and the ethical use of technology.
Conclusion: A Rational Approach to AI
In conclusion, the discourse surrounding AI must shift from sensational fears of hypothetical scenarios to a rational examination of its current applications. We must cultivate a mindset that prioritizes virtue, wisdom, courage, justice, and temperance in our interactions with technology. By focusing on what is within our control—namely, the regulation and responsible deployment of AI—we can mitigate the risks associated with its use and ensure that accountability remains with those who wield power in decision-making processes.
Let us approach the challenges posed by AI with the clarity of thought and strength of character that Stoicism teaches us, recognizing that while we cannot control the technology itself, we can control our responses and the frameworks we establish for its use.
Source Body Text
Amid a barrage of news stories warning about superintelligent machines rendering humanity extinct, a CNN story describing the opposite scenario – one in which the US military’s reliance on brittle chatbots almost brought the US into war with China – went mostly unnoticed by the public. The biggest international AI news of the past three weeks was the Anthropic engineer Jacob Coxon’s resignation. According to him, OpenAI and Anthropic are “racing straight towards self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives”. Coxon’s description of a “terminator” scenario, a machine becoming much smarter than humanity and deciding to wipe us out, captured the public’s, journalists’ and politicians’ attention, stirring waves of fear-inducing, credulous reporting, and policy actions. The California governor, Gavin Newsom, issued a mandate to create an “AI kill-switch”; New York’s governor, Kathy Hochul, is similarly exploring the possibility of having “AI kill-switches”; and Senator Bernie Sanders and Congressman Greg Casar introduced legislation to “ban artificial superintelligence”. While so many of us were focused on fictional superintelligent machines that we were told could hypothetically cause human extinction, however, there was a more serious story being reported. A series of events almost got us to armageddon, not caused by “rogue, superintelligent AI”, but by government reliance on error-prone systems that are marketed by their manufacturers as being close to superintelligent. A CNN report published on 18 September, which hasn’t been verified by other major outlets, describes how the US “almost started a war” with China, based on an intelligence report that claimed a Chinese ship was transporting components of nuclear weapons. Military personnel made plans to intercept the Chinese vessel, complete with aircraft and soldiers ready to board the ship. A military skirmish of this kind between China and the US could quickly escalate and spiral into world war three. It was only moments before executing on the plan that American officials further investigated the intelligence report and found that it had been generated with the use of a chatbot and contained erroneous information about the vessel’s contents. Unlike the terminator, “rogue AI”, scenario, this incident didn’t galvanize lawmakers into announcing calls for regulation so as to avoid potential human extinction. Media outlet after media outlet didn’t warn the public that we almost triggered a war against a nuclear superpower because of our military’s reliance on error-prone chatbots. We describe the large language models (LLMs) powering these chatbots as stochastic parrots, that is, models that are designed to regurgitate the patterns of the data they are trained on. News coverage describing them as “powerful” “rogue” models that could render humanity extinct all on their own, bolsters perceptions of tools based on these models being infallible enough to merit usage in stakes as high as warfare. Even CNN’s more critical coverage describes the chatbot used by the US military as presenting “profound risks” because it is “powerful, new and relatively poorly understood technology”. In fact, today’s LLMs and the chatbots they power are not poorly understood, nor are they powerful in the sense of being effective tools for this use case. They are systems for generating plausible-looking text, built out of enormous, haphazardly collected datasets and then “fine-tuned” (that is, further trained) to be especially appealing to their intended users. CNN wasn’t able to learn which chatbot product was used in this case, but the LLM powering the product was probably fine-tuned to output text with the stylistic hallmarks of intelligence reports. Both the basic functionality and the risks of such a model have been well-understood and well-documented for years, including in our 2021 paper On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots: Can Language Models Be Too Big? Claims that system behavior is mysterious arise from deliberate mystification on the part of those selling those systems, and a misapprehension of what their output is by those procuring and using it. Unlike the unscientific and fantastical claims of OpenAI and Anthropic CEOs and those who uncritically repeat their talking points, the harmful, and well-documented, impacts of these companies’ products have arisen because people believe that the products are superintelligent, not because they actually are. From “AI” scribes used by hospitals erroneously classifying patients as illicit drug users, to governments killing children after relying on “intelligence analysis” systems which mistake schools for military facilities, we are seeing the predictable harms that come from misplaced faith in unreliable automated software. Meanwhile, the marketing campaigns from the companies selling this software warn of impending superintelligence, directing our attention away from the real risk to their fantasies of doom. It is high time for us to regulate usage of systems sold as “AI”, not because they are magical machines, but because they are error-prone products that shouldn’t be used in high-stakes scenarios. Any automation used in military, medical or other life-and-death situations must be thoroughly evaluated within its use case and paired with usage norms that keep accountability with people who have actual power to make decisions. As the former FTC chair Lina Khan has repeatedly reminded us, there is no exemption from the law when it comes to AI: there are existing laws that federal agencies and other regulators can enforce to protect the public against the AI industry’s unsafe and unscientific practices of pushing unsound products while marketing them as “magic intelligence in the sky”. Going along with company executives and describing their products as beings with agency allows these executives to evade accountability while deceiving the public. We call on journalists and lawmakers to hold companies accountable rather than parrot their marketing talking points. Timnit Gebru is executive director of Dair and author of the forthcoming book Deep Unlearning: The Radicalization of a Tech Idealist, which is available for preorders now and set to publish on 16 February. Emily M Bender is professor of linguistics at the University of Washington and co-author of The AI Con.